CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-07-08T20:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-07-08T20:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/20757/-1
CME Note: An eruption associated with the long-duration M2.5-class solar flare which occurred near N20E40. The CME presents itself as a faint halo in SOHO/C3 imagery and possibly a halo in Stereo-A/COR2A imagery with a bulk component mostly to the east in all available coronagraph imagery. The eruption as seen in coronal imagery is relatively unimpressive with mostly bright post-eruptive arcades and an EUV wave that traverses north and west of the source region best seen in SDO AIA 211 imagery.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-07-11T09:22Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 4.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-07-12T12:30Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 35.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note: Lead Time: -1.10 hour(s)
Difference: -27.13 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Chris Stubenrauch (M2M SWAO) on 2022-07-11T10:28Z
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